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c/uk_politics · by that_ginger_one@feddit.uk · 3y

Westminster Voting Intention: 🌹Lab 46 (+3) | 🌳Con 28 (-3) | 🔶LD 11 (+1) | ➡️Reform 4 (-1) | 🌍Green 4 (+1) | 🎗️SNP 3 (-1) | ⬜️Other 4 (=) Via Savanta.

https://twitter.com/Savanta_UK/status/1676877021320818690

🚨NEW Westminster Voting Intention

📈18pt Labour lead

🌹Lab 46 (+3) 🌳Con 28 (-3) 🔶LD 11 (+1) ➡️Reform 4 (-1) 🌍Green 4 (+1) 🎗️SNP 3 (-1) ⬜️Other 4 (=)

2,216 UK adults, 30 June - 2 July

(chg from 23-25 June)

15 points · 1 comments · view on lemmy.world

1 Comments

that_ginger_one@feddit.uk · 3 pts · 3y

Flavible:

Party Pred % Pred Seats
CON 28.0% 177
LAB 46.0% 380
LD 11.0% 35
REFUK 4.0% 0
Green 4.0% 1
SNP 3% 32
PC 0.5% 3

Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries'):

Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats
CON 44.7% 375 28.0% 1 236 -235 141
LAB 33.0% 198 46.0% 248 0 +248 445
LIB 11.8% 8 11% 9 0 +9 17
Reform 2.1% 0 4% 0 0 +0 0
Green 2.8% 1 4% 0 0 +0 1
SNP 4.0% 48 3.5% 0 23 -23 25
PlaidC 0.5% 2 0.5% 1 1 +0 2
Other 1.1% 0 3.0% 0 0 +0 0
N.Ire - 18 - 0 0 +0 18

The difference 28% Con vs 24-5% Con is quite something. Still puts Labour in or close to the 400 Club (again).