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c/uk_politics · by that_ginger_one@feddit.uk · 3y

Westminster Voting Intention: Labour: 43% (-1) | Conservatives: 28% (+3) | Lib Dems: 9% (n/c) | SNP: 3% (n/c) | Green: 6% (-1) | Reform UK: 8% (+1) | Via Opinium.

🚨 Latest poll for @ObserverUK. Labour lead at 15 points.

Labour: 43% (-1)

Conservatives: 28% (+3)

Lib Dems: 9% (n/c)

SNP: 3% (n/c)

Green: 6% (-1)

Reform UK: 8% (+1)

(Changes are from a poll released in the Observer last week)

12 points · 1 comments · view on lemmy.world

1 Comments

that_ginger_one@feddit.uk · 4 pts · 3y

Flavible:

Party Pred % Pred Seats
CON 🌳 28.0% 199
LAB 🌹 43.0% 365
LD 🔶 9.0% 28
REFUK ➡️ 8.0% 0
Green 🌍 6.0% 1
SNP 🎗️ 3% 33
PC 💮 0.5% 3

Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries'):

Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats
CON 🌳 44.7% 375 28.0% 9 213 -204 172
LAB 🌹 33.0% 198 43.0% 233 0 +233 430
LIB 🔶 11.8% 8 9% 8 0 +8 16
Reform ➡️ 2.1% 0 8% 0 0 +0 0
Green 🌍 2.8% 1 6% 0 0 +0 1
SNP 🎗️ 4.0% 48 3.0% 0 38 -38 10
PlaidC 💮 0.5% 2 0.5% 1 1 +0 2
Other ⬜️ 1.1% 0 2.5% 1 0 +1 1
N.Ire ⬜️ - 18 - 0 0 +0 18

Scotland EC Break-Down

Con Lab Lib REF Green SNP
28% 31% 3% 1% 3% 31%

Don't believe the Scots numbers for a second in this poll; and they are having a real impact on the EC seat numbers.