No they didn't. They had Hillary with something like a 60% chance of winning. That's not "had Hillary beating Trump" that's "Hillary was more likely to win than Trump."
What a lot of bullshit. You realize that even the Republican-led investigations found no evidence of Democratic election tampering, right? The only election fraud of significance was by Republicans.
17 Comments
DogPeePoo@lemm.ee · 29 pts · 2y
538 had Hillary beating Trump in 2016.
Polls are shit, have a plan and get out and vote.
VOTE!!!
atzanteol@sh.itjust.works · 8 pts · 2y
No they didn't. They had Hillary with something like a 60% chance of winning. That's not "had Hillary beating Trump" that's "Hillary was more likely to win than Trump."
JudahBenHur@lemm.ee · 4 pts · 2y
I dont have proof, but I believe it was a hell of a lot higher than 60％
PowerCrazy@lemmy.ml · 4 pts · 2y
It was. IIRC, it got up to almost 90% in mid October. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
atzanteol@sh.itjust.works · 3 pts · 2y
It wasn't 100%. It's a forecast not a premonition.
DogPeePoo@lemm.ee · 3 pts · 2y
Sure, Jan
You know how the internet works, right?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Don’t miss the forest for the trees. The point being— polls are shit 💩
GET OUT AND VOTE!!!
atzanteol@sh.itjust.works · 5 pts · 2y
You know how probability works right? No, of course you don't. Almost nobody does...
Pheonixdown@lemm.ee · 3 pts · 2y
Some of us play XCOM, 95% chance to hit might as well be 0% when you need 100%, usually means it's time for a grenade.
atzanteol@sh.itjust.works · 0 pts · 2y
Hah! Excellent example. 😆
TheEtherBunny@lemmy.world · 11 pts · 2y
The very idea that 50% of any uncontrived sample of people in the USA would vote for that compulsively lying wannabe dick-tater is appalling.
PowerCrazy@lemmy.ml · -7 pts · 2y
Super excited for another repeat of 2016.
delirious_owl@discuss.online · -17 pts · 2y
REPLACE HARRIS. We can beat him with someone better
thecam@lemmy.world · -35 pts · 2y
Elections aren't real. The fraud in the 2020 elections should have told Americans that elections do not matter going forward.
AFKBRBChocolate@lemmy.world · 17 pts · 2y
What a lot of bullshit. You realize that even the Republican-led investigations found no evidence of Democratic election tampering, right? The only election fraud of significance was by Republicans.
OhStopYellingAtMe@lemmy.world · 9 pts · 2y
Troll alert.
davel@lemmy.ml · 6 pts · 2y
How can mirrors be real when our eyes aren’t real?
People are reporting your comment, but I kinda want to keep it because QAnoners almost never show up here and it’s funny.
You’re not entirely wrong about elections being a fraud, though[1][2].
thecam@lemmy.world · -3 pts · 2y
Not a Q follow. Q is propaganda