Title is hyperbole. Essentially the answer is maybe but most likely not. Has a discussion about potential poll error in the context of precision vs. accuracy. Notes that the model assumes accuracy but not precision.
SBSQ #12: Will the polls lowball Trump again?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/sbsq-12-will-the-polls-lowball-trump
3 Comments
mozz@mbin.grits.dev · 14 pts · 1y
TL;DR Here’s how my model works model model model anyway you gotta subscribe to hear the answer.
abff08f4813c@j4vcdedmiokf56h3ho4t62mlku.srv.us · 12 pts · 1y
For what it's worth, the first sentence after the subscriber paywall is this,
MediaBiasFactChecker@lemmy.world · -8 pts · 1y
The news source of this post could not be identified. Please check the source yourself. Media Bias Fact Check | bot support