Estimated Assembly build up is
10 Labour
10 Libs
3 Greens
1 IFC (Thomas Emmerson, seems to be left leaning)
1 Ind (Fiona Carrick, Nimby)
I'm not happy that greens lost three seats, but at the end of the day Lab/Greens coalition one so I'm okay
ABC election analyst Antony Green says ACT Labor has won a seventh consecutive term in government
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-19/act-election-vote-labor-wins/104493488
4 Comments
Tau@aussie.zone · 4 pts · 1y
That's pretty much what I was expecting; the Liberals getting enough seats for a majority would have been quite surprising so it was really a matter of how close Lab/Lib would get and who Labor has to negotiate with. I am not surprised that Labour's primary vote is middling considering it's been two decades in power, the fact that they still hold power is a real testament to how badly the Libs are received in this town.
The rise of independents is interesting, and I can't say I dislike a shift away from party based politics. How it turns out is obviously going to be more variable though - I will be curious to see if they retain their seats after a term.
spiffmeister@aussie.zone · 4 pts · 1y
It's not massively surprising that Greens would be replaced with independents. They had the smaller primary vote share afaik, and Thomas Emmerson having Pococks support probably makes a difference.
Tau@aussie.zone · 4 pts · 1y
Yes, it makes sense that they'd be the first to lose seats to another non-major candidate. Another possible factor is that the Greens lost protest vote value due to being known as part of the incumbent government - that's going to attract less of the votes from people who want something different (but aren't going to vote for the Libs).
RarePossum@programming.dev · 3 pts · 1y
Also on the ABC panel, the Lib reps were leaking some internal tea, which was fun.