When your predictions are just straight wrong

The results, which appear in Galef’s new book The Scout Mindset, are devastating. Not only does Spock have a terrible track record— events he describes as “impossible” happen 83 percent of the time —but his confidence level is actually anti-correlated with reality. “The more confident he says he is that something will happen—that the ship will crash, or that they will find survivors—the less likely it is to happen, and the less confident he is in something, the more likely it is to happen,” Galef says.

Bonus: While making this, I noticed a fun Easter egg in Duck Duck Go, wherein searching "spock" changes the logo to a version with the duck mascot dressed up as Spock.

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33 points · 2 comments · view on lemmy.world

2 Comments

aeronmelon@lemmy.world · 5 pts · 258d

Uhura, every couple of months under her breath with a smarmy tone, “Vulcan has no moon~!”

MisterMoo@lemmy.world · 2 pts · 258d

His certainty is used as a plot device to raise the audience’s sense of danger.