Let’s assume a 50/50 split of 20 voters to make the math simple, 10 each of R and D.
If 1 in 10 R voters didn’t vote, that would be a 9:10 split, a 47% - 52% split, a 5% difference. If that voter then voted D, it would be a 9:11 split, a 47 - 57% split. To get that 20% split, you’d need a second R voter to change sides for an 8:12 split, which simplifies to 4:6, or a 40% - 60% split, which is a 20 point spread.
According to the math above, you can see that I was wrong by confusing the 20% population of R voters and the 10% of all voters.
7 Comments
Concave1142@lemmy.world · 75 pts · 2y
Still a Republican win, just not by as much of a win as in the past.
Saved you a read.
Ipodjockey@lemmy.world · 11 pts · 2y
Thanks
blusterydayve26@midwest.social · 5 pts · 2y
1 in every 10 republicans defected. That’s the news.
CrayonMaster@midwest.social · 1 pts · 2y
Wait 1 in 10? 20 points, even if it stared at 100% republican would be 1 in 5, more if the county was less then 100%
blusterydayve26@midwest.social · 2 pts · 2y
Let’s assume a 50/50 split of 20 voters to make the math simple, 10 each of R and D.
If 1 in 10 R voters didn’t vote, that would be a 9:10 split, a 47% - 52% split, a 5% difference. If that voter then voted D, it would be a 9:11 split, a 47 - 57% split. To get that 20% split, you’d need a second R voter to change sides for an 8:12 split, which simplifies to 4:6, or a 40% - 60% split, which is a 20 point spread.
According to the math above, you can see that I was wrong by confusing the 20% population of R voters and the 10% of all voters.
Lost_My_Mind@lemmy.world · 17 pts · 2y
Ohioan here.......there was an election???
hunleyd@lemmy.world · 13 pts · 2y
Special election, just for that county