How possible is it that Trump is doing some "insider trading" regarding the possible Iran strike in Polymarket?

44 points · 12 comments · view on lemmy.world

12 Comments

GalacticSushi@lemmy.blahaj.zone · 45 pts · 212d (1 reply)

You mean the guy that sold stock, intentionally tanked the stock market, bought back in, then went on TV to brag about how much money he and his inner circle made on the pump and dump? He would never!

But on a serious note, we have consistently seen major bets placed on polymarket hours before trump does something. If it isn't him, someone close is making bank on being in the know.

DeathsEmbrace@lemmy.world · 3 pts · 212d

Insider trading on international fiascos?

ieatpwns@lemmy.world · 27 pts · 212d

One of his sons are on the board of multiple prediction markets so I’d be willing to bet (hehe) he’s definitely insider trading

I’m gonna come back later and add the news sources

https://www.wired.com/story/trump-truth-social-launches-prediction-market/

https://news.kalshi.com/p/donald-trump-jr-strategic-advisor

https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2025/08/polymarket-adds-donald-trump-jr-as-adviser-ahead-of-us-return-00525444

Asafum@lemmy.world · 10 pts · 212d

db2@lemmy.world · 8 pts · 212d

1000%.

FaceDeer@fedia.io · 6 pts · 212d

The only plausible scenario in which he isn't, IMO, is if his brain has degraded to the point where he's forgotten about this or has decided it's "woke" or something equally insane. And that would require his maximize-benefit-to-me-personally center to have lost influence over the rest of his brain so I consider that highly unlikely, that's going to be the last bit to melt into pudding.

MedicPigBabySaver@lemmy.world · 6 pts · 212d

Yes

Zwuzelmaus@feddit.org · 3 pts · 212d

If somebody claims that he doesn't, I would never believe that.

Lasherz12@lemmy.world · 3 pts · 212d (2 replies)

Not sure specifically about poly market, but whatever platform generates the best returns for insider trading is where the scheme is. One of his failsons owns part of a betting market and Baron trades crypto. Both have been enriched as a result. Oh, also Melania coin is literally a pump and dump. I wouldn't say it's possible, I'd say it's definite.

YesButActuallyMaybe@lemmy.ca · 3 pts · 212d (1 reply)
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village604@adultswim.fan · 3 pts · 212d

It's not just possible, it's a guarantee.

FinjaminPoach@lemmy.world · 2 pts · 212d

I think people have literally pointed out that he does do this, yeah. It's a very boring style of corruption but you get what you get with an evil despot.

Diddlydee@feddit.uk · 1 pts · 212d
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