I rolled a die ten times and got 4,6,3,6,3,2,3,5,4,4, do you think that just happened by chance?

11 points · 9 comments · view on lemmy.world

9 Comments

dnick@sh.itjust.works · 12 pts · 42d (4 replies)

Yes

FreshParsnip@lemmy.ca · 5 pts · 42d (3 replies)

The odds of getting this specific sequence was 1/60,466,176

Rhynoplaz@lemmy.world · 15 pts · 42d

But the odds of getting a specific sequence with 1/60,466,176 odds are 100%

dnick@sh.itjust.works · 2 pts · 37d

What are the odds of getting any specific combination? The only thing vaguely unusual about that will is that there weren't any 1s, and there's like a 15% for that. Picking out any specific sequence and if you'll get those numbers in that order are going to be very low odds, but getting 'more 4s than you expect' or no 1s is kind of reasonable.

The odds of you getting struck by lightning are pretty low, but the odds of someone getting struck by lightning in a given year are so high that it would be noteworthy if it didn't happened.

dnick@sh.itjust.works · 2 pts · 37d

If you called it before you rolled, the odds are 1:60,000,000. If you just rolled them and are just telling us what you got, then it's just telling us what you got, 1:1

potatoguy@mbin.potato-guy.space · 6 pts · 42d

Probably

spiderhamster@midwest.social · 5 pts · 42d (1 reply)

Yes, but Id like to know if it was a d20 because those rolls would be super shitty

luthis@lemmy.nz · 3 pts · 42d

Good point. If it was a d4 though, they would be spectacular rolls

Lumidaub@feddit.org · 2 pts · 41d

Come back after you got 4, 8, 1, 5, 1, 6, 2, 3, 4, 2.