Especially when people fuck with the ride height on their trucks. They almost always end up with the front higher than the back, relative to it's stock setting. Then don't bother to adjust the head light angle to compensate.
Then, on I need a massive light bar on the top of my truck. Never mind that I never take this thing off road or do any work with it. It looks cool and it's bright and shiny.
Fuck off. Can we just tax these things properly and not v give them a lower tax rate since their classed as commercial vehicles. No one buying these massive boats uses them for more than going to home Depot once a year to buy some leaf bags.
Another data point yesterday was University of Miami (Ohio) poll of Ohio showing Trump+3 in Ohio. It's not as extreme a swing as the Selzer Iowa poll but it's a significant shift from 2016, 2020 and much of the polling this cycle.
So while the Selzer poll is out on a bit of an island, the Miami-Ohio poll certainly shows a similar swing.
I'm inclined towards pessimism, but it's hard not to feel there's some significant herding happening, and that the averages are being affected by it as well as some low quality pollsters flooding the data with polls
Translation: all the times Tesla has vowed that all of its vehicles would soon be capable of fully driving themselves may have been a convenient act of salesmanship that ultimately turned out not to be true."
There's a word for that already. Lied. They/He lied.
There were a lot of garage firms this cycle. Flooding the averages with a particular bias.
My gut feeling is also that the larger, more credible polling outfits are herding a bit and are afraid of under sampling the same voters they under sampled the last 2 elections. Though this bit remains to be seen, as I said it's more a feeling than anything.
Edit: also to add on to my herding note. I find it odd that every projection system out there says it's close but also makes a point to hedge further and say that a landslide either way is plausible. It just adds to my feeling of herding and general ass covering.
Edit 2: just saw the Seltzer Iowa Poll. This post is about 5 hours old at time of edit. Maybe gut was onto something
Or.... Hear me out... JD Vance... Lied. You know, like a liar would. Like a man who admitted he makes up stories for media attention would. Because... He's a liar
I've been using Boost. It has user tags, instance blocking which can even be extended to comments from blocked instances. Search is kinda eh, and sometimes gifs from less common sites won't load, but overall I'm happy with the experience.
Previously I used Connect. It was pretty good. Had similar features as Boost, but I found more issues loading content with Connect. Admittedly that was about a year ago so things may have improved, but I haven't gone back to check.
Urban coyotes always have an attitude that suggests they will just roll up and hangout on your porch smoking Pall Malls while your out. Then when you get home and see them, they just look at you with an expression that says, "Well... What are you gonna do about?" As the cigarette hangs from there mouth, ashing far longer than should be possible.
The comp for an older generation is cars. Cars saw similar growth and adoption in the 50s-80s. And they had similar growing pains, reliability and maintenance issues were common place. So being able to perform maintenance and having an understanding of how they work was far more wide spread than just hobbyist and professionals.
As cars advanced the need to perform field maintenance and ad hoc repairs became less required so future generations (on average) became less knowledgeable and skilled at various car repair (and modification) activities, because cars just work now so there's really no need to worry about learning how to fix minor issues, because they're just not a common problem.
"local" has a bizarre definition. Iowa is blacked out of Twins, Brewers, Royals, Cubs, White Sox and Cardinals games. None of which are carried locally.
I think it's a poor phrasing. A more accurate statement would have been, "We have not been able to confirm a motive at this time" or similar. Basically leaving room for the idea that we all more or less know what the motive was, while acknowledging that's it has not (yet) been proven conclusively.
In-N-Out is definitely overrated. Their burgers are fine, maybe even good, but the fries are fucking trash. You can't be a restaurant with 2 things on the menu and have one of them be awful.
Especially when people fuck with the ride height on their trucks. They almost always end up with the front higher than the back, relative to it's stock setting. Then don't bother to adjust the head light angle to compensate.
Then, on I need a massive light bar on the top of my truck. Never mind that I never take this thing off road or do any work with it. It looks cool and it's bright and shiny.
Fuck off. Can we just tax these things properly and not v give them a lower tax rate since their classed as commercial vehicles. No one buying these massive boats uses them for more than going to home Depot once a year to buy some leaf bags.
/Rant
Another data point yesterday was University of Miami (Ohio) poll of Ohio showing Trump+3 in Ohio. It's not as extreme a swing as the Selzer Iowa poll but it's a significant shift from 2016, 2020 and much of the polling this cycle.
So while the Selzer poll is out on a bit of an island, the Miami-Ohio poll certainly shows a similar swing.
I'm inclined towards pessimism, but it's hard not to feel there's some significant herding happening, and that the averages are being affected by it as well as some low quality pollsters flooding the data with polls
THIS is the Bad Place.gif
Then Ann Seltzer entered the chat. My goodness. I don't know if she just had an outlier or not. But you cannot accuse her of herding with that one
There's a word for that already. Lied. They/He lied.
No need for 30 words when 2 will do.
They Lied.
There were a lot of garage firms this cycle. Flooding the averages with a particular bias.
My gut feeling is also that the larger, more credible polling outfits are herding a bit and are afraid of under sampling the same voters they under sampled the last 2 elections. Though this bit remains to be seen, as I said it's more a feeling than anything.
Edit: also to add on to my herding note. I find it odd that every projection system out there says it's close but also makes a point to hedge further and say that a landslide either way is plausible. It just adds to my feeling of herding and general ass covering.
Edit 2: just saw the Seltzer Iowa Poll. This post is about 5 hours old at time of edit. Maybe gut was onto something
Or.... Hear me out... JD Vance... Lied. You know, like a liar would. Like a man who admitted he makes up stories for media attention would. Because... He's a liar
I'd argue a lot of our current problems are directly descended from Nixon being pardoned and facing 0 consequences for his crimes.
I was wearing an onion on my belt, which was the fashion at the time
https://youtu.be/-MkRuV0aCcI?si=D4s4UxtQqjjt_-0u
I think your math is a bit off. It's more like 56.3% annually over 50 years
I think Anthony Jeselnik sums it up pretty well
https://youtu.be/4mCAl85hLkU?si=vwEMzE15kfHJMddV
Are you sure you're not thinking of Jolee from Kotor 1 ?
I've been using Boost. It has user tags, instance blocking which can even be extended to comments from blocked instances. Search is kinda eh, and sometimes gifs from less common sites won't load, but overall I'm happy with the experience.
Previously I used Connect. It was pretty good. Had similar features as Boost, but I found more issues loading content with Connect. Admittedly that was about a year ago so things may have improved, but I haven't gone back to check.
Urban coyotes always have an attitude that suggests they will just roll up and hangout on your porch smoking Pall Malls while your out. Then when you get home and see them, they just look at you with an expression that says, "Well... What are you gonna do about?" As the cigarette hangs from there mouth, ashing far longer than should be possible.
Are there any colorized versions, either video or images? Might make for some compelling side by sides.
The comp for an older generation is cars. Cars saw similar growth and adoption in the 50s-80s. And they had similar growing pains, reliability and maintenance issues were common place. So being able to perform maintenance and having an understanding of how they work was far more wide spread than just hobbyist and professionals.
As cars advanced the need to perform field maintenance and ad hoc repairs became less required so future generations (on average) became less knowledgeable and skilled at various car repair (and modification) activities, because cars just work now so there's really no need to worry about learning how to fix minor issues, because they're just not a common problem.
"local" has a bizarre definition. Iowa is blacked out of Twins, Brewers, Royals, Cubs, White Sox and Cardinals games. None of which are carried locally.
I think it's a poor phrasing. A more accurate statement would have been, "We have not been able to confirm a motive at this time" or similar. Basically leaving room for the idea that we all more or less know what the motive was, while acknowledging that's it has not (yet) been proven conclusively.
In-N-Out is definitely overrated. Their burgers are fine, maybe even good, but the fries are fucking trash. You can't be a restaurant with 2 things on the menu and have one of them be awful.