| Party Name | Seats (Current) | Seats Change | Percentage (% Current) | Percentage (%) Change | Majority Probability | Minority Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 180 | +20 | 43.6% | +11% | 76.3% | 19.4% |
| Conservative | 128 | +9 | 40.6% | +6.9% | 0.6% | 3.6% |
| Bloc | 25 | -7 | 5.2% | -2.4% | 0% | 0% |
| New Democrat | 8 | -17 | 6.8% | -11% | N/A | N/A |
Mainstreet polling, Mar 28
11 Comments
Kichae@lemmy.ca · 14 pts · 1y
It will be interesting to see what happens after April 2nd. It seems likely that we'll see CPC dip again, before climbing back up as we approach election day. There's a bit of an intuitive sense that the Conservatives are aligned with Trump, even if ideologically, and anger at him is getting partially directed into a rejection of the Cons.
Also, I wonder who the next NDP leader will be...
avidamoeba@lemmy.ca · 5 pts · 1y
Yeah. I think Carney is likely to push PP to "disavow" Trump because we know a chunk of PP's voters are Trump supporters and so PP is unlikely to provide a full-throated Trump rejection. Rest of Canadians would react at it as you described.
In any case, the race is very much too close for comfort at this point.
Pyr_Pressure@lemmy.ca · 2 pts · 1y
I don't get why he doesn't do it. What are his voters going to do if he disavows Trump? vote NDP?
He has everything to gain and nothing to lose.
theacharnian@lemmy.ca · 3 pts · 1y
The might go to Bernier.
n2burns@lemmy.ca · 3 pts · 1y
As long as Agent Orange down south doesn't do anything else crazy before the election!
Pyr_Pressure@lemmy.ca · 1 pts · 1y
Dearche@lemmy.ca · 1 pts · 1y
There's no way that guy's got that sort of self control...or long term memory.
avidamoeba@lemmy.ca · 5 pts · 1y
Things are tightening up as expected.
aSadBowlofSoup@lemm.ee · 1 pts · 1y
Traitors buttholes are gonna be the opposite of tight.
aSadBowlofSoup@lemm.ee · -5 pts · 1y
Liberal party be like “GAS GAS GAS, IM GONNA STEP ON THE GAS, TONIGHT ILL FLY AND ILL BE YOUR LOVER YEAH YEAH YEAH ILL BE SO QUICK AS A FLASH, AND ILL BE YOUR HEEEROOOO”
Trex202@lemmy.world · 15 pts · 1y
Sir, this is an A&W
aSadBowlofSoup@lemm.ee · 1 pts · 1y
Don’t tell me how to live my life jk