Russia preparing possible ‘provocation’ in Baltic states or Poland, sources say
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/26/russia-provocation-baltic-states-poland
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/26/russia-provocation-baltic-states-poland
21 Comments
TIN@feddit.uk · 56 pts · 47d
Opening up a second front in your war has historically always worked out well
Scrollone@feddit.it · 17 pts · 47d
Especially for a country that's doing sooooo well.
37piecesof_flare@lemmy.world · 5 pts · 47d
It's okay, they've only lost over a million people so far, and they still have all those women and children to send into the meat grinder.
YabbaDabbaDipshit@lemmy.world · 41 pts · 47d
Oh by all means please pick the 3rd largest army in nato that also absoulutely fucking hates russia.
gdog05@lemmy.world · 24 pts · 47d
Given how Ukraine is mopping up with them right now, I don't see a play here. Seems like antagonizing your big brother while you're losing a fight with your little sister. It could be lack of creativity on my part but I can't see any gains at all for Russia in attempting this.
Korhaka@sopuli.xyz · 36 pts · 47d
Most common theory I hear is they would feel better losing to NATO than losing to Ukraine.
phutatorius@lemmy.zip · 19 pts · 47d
That's almost funny if true.
Tar_alcaran@sh.itjust.works · 6 pts · 47d
That sounds almost mildly clever. Until you realize that even with the US, the rest of NATO has enough planes and missiles to turn everything with camo paint on it between the border and Moscow into a giant fireball.
And then everything in Moscow
Shartyfartblast@piefed.zip · 3 pts · 46d
*without?
Tar_alcaran@sh.itjust.works · 1 pts · 46d
Indeed, without.
Geobloke@aussie.zone · 1 pts · 46d
I think it's also so it becomes easier to announce a general draft
Korhaka@sopuli.xyz · 3 pts · 46d
Yeah that is the other one I hear. But if they are fighting NATO they are surely just going to see millions more dead and leave Russia as even more of a shithole.
Geobloke@aussie.zone · 1 pts · 46d
Does millions more dead matter?
magnue@lemmy.world · 8 pts · 47d
Russia like to prod and test boundaries. If they can get away with something without retaliation, a boundary has moved and it's a small win for free.
SreudianFlip@sh.itjust.works · 1 pts · 45d
This is the way of non-maritime empires since the beginning of time. Push at your borders until you meet resistance, endlessly.
REDACTED@infosec.pub · 23 pts · 47d
They literally just did like 2-3 weeks ago. Multiple drones from Russia flew into Baltics. One in my country (Latvia) attacked an oil tank. Last one was taken down by French fighter.
Under any other circumstances this would be a clear act of war.
Noodle07@lemmy.world · 3 pts · 46d
It would be an act of war but it's frown upon to hit a country already on the ground
Nighed@feddit.uk · 1 pts · 46d
I thought the oil tank one was a Ukrainian one that had it's GPS spoofed?
REDACTED@infosec.pub · 3 pts · 46d
If you steal my weapon and attack someone else, it was not me who attacked. Ukraine also didn't start this war. It's quite hard to blame them
Otherwise this would not have happened the following days.
BlindPenguin@lemmy.world · 6 pts · 46d
Bogus007@lemmy.zip · 2 pts · 46d
They won’t attack Poland as the current Polish president is boot licking Trump and an attack on Poland would potentially involve the US. So, I believe this is this usual fearmongering by the Polish elite with respect to a potential attack on Poland.
The Baltic states are indeed different: (1) little US support if whatever, (2) small countries, easy to invade larger parts, (3) a weak EU which prefers to raise fingers than to act and (4) which is flooded with politicians who are Putin’s puppets and losers, who are all talking the same time about independence, sovereignty and nationalism. I have words for these people mod may block me, so I remain quite.