OpenAI falling short of their ad revenue projections by 90%

https://futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/openai-ad-revenue-ai-advertising-financial-projection

OpenAI wants you to believe that by 2030, it’ll be raking in $100 billion a year just from ads alone - even though it’s currently struggling to reach just $1 billion.

329 points · 32 comments · view on lemmy.world

32 Comments

StillAlive@piefed.world · 108 pts · 58d (2 replies)

90% isn't 'falling short'. It's 'barely starting'.

rimu@piefed.social · 47 pts · 58d

It's "get a new business model"

Tollana1234567@lemmy.today · 8 pts · 58d

these AI companies are looking for the suckers and loser retailers and other industry to hold the bag.

Jaysyn@lemmy.world · 45 pts · 58d (7 replies)

Good. Die faster and take Oracle with you.

SupraMario@lemmy.world · 20 pts · 58d (3 replies)

Oracle might go first, their credit rating was downgraded again to BBB-. So banks are even less likely to loan anything to them

BarneyPiccolo@lemmy.today · 7 pts · 57d (2 replies)

The Ellison's don't care, they've already fished that pond empty. They're in the propaganda business now.

GamingChairModel@lemmy.world · 6 pts · 57d (1 reply)

They can't close on the Warner deal yet (court ordered the deal be paused for 28 days to consider blocking it), and if the courts hold up the merger for a few months, and Oracle stock plummets based on their bad investments, the Ellisons' personal guarantee on the purchase price might not be enough to actually complete the merger.

I don't think it's very likely, but I can dream, at least for now.

BarneyPiccolo@lemmy.today · 2 pts · 56d

Thanks for the clarification!

🤞🏽

(Hey! Where are my Caucasian emojis?)

boaratio@lemmy.world · 10 pts · 58d

I want to punch both Larry Ellison and Sam Altman in the face so bad. Clearly neither of them have ever been punched in the face, and their time is due.

Tollana1234567@lemmy.today · 3 pts · 57d

and thiel, thiel brought sam out of obscurity, and likely used his Ai for his own.

OS2Warp@lemmy.zip · 2 pts · 56d

One Rich Asshole Called Larry Ellison

adarza@lemmy.ca · 38 pts · 58d (2 replies)

nearing 1 of 100 is 99% short, is it not?

rimu@piefed.social · 30 pts · 58d

The 100 bn is "by 2030". I guess their interim target for this year is much less than 100. Maybe the target is $10 billion and they achieved $1 billion.

Hegar@fedia.io · 20 pts · 58d

Yeah this whole thing is missing some crucial information.

The paragraph quoted in the post makes it sound like they are near $1b in revenue but i think they're just speaking rhetorically, "you want 100? You can't even get 1!"

In 2026, Emarketer projects that the combination of OpenAI, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon will bring in under $1 billion in ad revenue. For context, OpenAI had projected that its AI ad revenue alone would hit $2.5 billion by the end of this year.

This makes it sound like openai is projected to make $250m this year, if they're 90% short of revenue projections for this year. That's a full 25% of the $1b total ad revenue that OpenAI, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon make combined. Which is reasonable, but it does make their projections seem absolutely farcical. At least to me, but i don't know finances.

It would be good to check rhe original analysis the article cites but it's paywalled and begins with the same misleading comparison of 2030 to now.

TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world · 22 pts · 58d

Trampampoline@sh.itjust.works · 21 pts · 58d
Tempus_Fugit@lemmy.world · 19 pts · 58d (1 reply)

You love to see it. Bravo Scam Altman, bravo.

inari@piefed.zip · 11 pts · 58d

I read this in Ed Zitron's voice

Tollana1234567@lemmy.today · 15 pts · 58d (6 replies)

a ponzi scheme worst than the crypto one.

grue@lemmy.world · 5 pts · 58d (5 replies)

Between Altman and Bankman-Fried, these scammers are giving Sams a bad name.

Tollana1234567@lemmy.today · 1 pts · 57d
[ removed ]
Alk@sh.itjust.works · 1 pts · 58d (3 replies)

Name a good Sam to balance it out

logi@lemmy.world · 2 pts · 57d

Sam Neil 😢

StillAlive@piefed.world · 2 pts · 57d

Samuel L. Motherfucking Jackson

okamiueru@lemmy.world · 1 pts · 57d

Sam Campbell

yakko@feddit.uk · 14 pts · 58d

Tangentially, is there a single picture of Altman that doesn't instantly read as "insane sack of shit"?

Hairyfishnuts@feddit.online · 12 pts · 58d
[ removed ]
TomMasz@piefed.social · 11 pts · 58d

For most companies, this would be a fireable offense. But that's yesterday's thinking.

melsaskca@lemmy.ca · 10 pts · 58d

When growing up, if people needed or wanted a new product that was offered, they would purchase it. Nowadays it is forced upon you.

Buddahriffic@lemmy.world · 7 pts · 57d (1 reply)

The whole idea of ads being added to AI chatbots make them seem even more useless and unreliable to me. They already predict shit that can be called "outright lie" without adding even more lies in the form of advertisements.

Especially where they are being used for productivity, which kinda reeks of them eventually charging even more so that your email summary doesn't include a blurb about whether you should crave the same brawno that plants do (unless it's there because the AI used to write the email was the one that inserted the ad) or to prevent your vibecoded mess from getting stuck in a taco bell-sponsored spam loop.

rmrf@lemmy.ml · 1 pts · 57d

To my knowledge, the ad is merely a banner displayed on the web page and is incapable of interacting with the context payload sent to the model

prole@lemmy.blahaj.zone · 7 pts · 58d

This would get you blacklisted in any other industry

supersquirrel@sopuli.xyz · 1 pts · 58d

Burn baby burn!

architect@thelemmy.club · -1 pts · 58d

They haven’t turned ads fully on yet lol. This site just want you to click and think you’re winning.