Why I'm Betting Against AI Agents in 2025 (Despite Building Them)

https://utkarshkanwat.com/writing/betting-against-agents/

Comments

18 points · 7 comments · view on lemmy.world

7 Comments

Xulai@mander.xyz · 10 pts · 1y

As someone who works in tech, currently testing AI integration into healthcare EHR- the current state of AI is simply not safe for anything outside transcription- and even that is error prone without strict re-reading (not scanning!) for error correction.

The errors can be subtle but life threatening. I highly recommended against integrating it - but the most lazy providers were already using AI illegally for their notes so this was seen as a middle road.

Medical care and provider training in the USA is not ok right now, and getting worse. AI and misinformation is accelerating the decline.

hansolo@lemmy.today · 4 pts · 1y (2 replies)

TL;DR: Three Hard Truths About AI Agents After building 12+ production systems, here's what I've learned: -Error rates compound exponentially in multi-step workflows. 95% reliability per step = 36% success over 20 steps. Production needs 99.9%+. Context windows create quadratic token costs. -Long conversations become prohibitively expensive at scale. -The real challenge isn't AI capabilities, it's designing tools and feedback systems that agents can actually use effectively.

The TL;DR of the TL;DR is compounding expensive, error-prone results.

jbloggs777@discuss.tchncs.de · 3 pts · 1y (1 reply)

It sounds like one should be building deliberate AI workflows with extra checks (automated or human in the loop) that make careful and cost efficient incremental progress toward a measurable goal.

Sounds like hard work... when we could just build 1,000,000 MCP servers instead. (raises pinkie to corner of mouth)

DecaturNature@peachpie.theatl.social · 2 pts · 1y
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Outwit1294@lemmy.today · 4 pts · 1y

Interesting. I have never seen the economic side of it being discussed outside of nvidia stock prices.

Dadifer@lemmy.world · 3 pts · 1y (1 reply)

I keep having the same question: would it benefit to have a separate agent whose job was to error-check the first agent?

scribbler@lemmy.world · 2 pts · 1y

The three stooges didn't seem any less likely to get into trouble despite their strength in numbers

PattyMcB@lemmy.world · 1 pts · 1y

Also... how many security vulnerabilities have those agents introduced?