Paradoxically, if Russia were running out of troops to continue the war, I would expect the war to escalate
Putin cannot allow this war to end with a defeat. He is liable to be killed once the people turn on him
To avoid that outcome, the obvious choice would be conscription when troop numbers get low. Conscription is incredibly unpopular, as we saw in 2022; therefore, Putin would need additional justification for conscription. The justification would come in the form of an additional external threat -- NATO
NATO, obviously, has no intention of attacking Russia unless attacked themselves. Putin would need to attack NATO and provoke a response
It appears the US has intelligence suggesting Putin planned to do just that, which spurred John Ratcliffe's visit to Moscow. A trip that closely mirrors then CIA director William Burns' 2021 trip to discourage Russia from invading Ukraine
No other country seems to get that benefit. He is our drmocratically elected leader
People supporting him is normal in the US. 39% of the population continue to support him
We need to take a real hard look at our country and realize what we did. Trump isn't some aberration, he's a democratically elected leader, who got elected twice
We have a lot of structural issues that led to this, from poor education and rampant anti-intellectualism, to an electoral college that subverted the popular democratic result to bring him to power initially
Our electoral system is such that ~40% of the population will support a candidate for their party no matter how bad, simply because that's their team, then that candidate can be elected with less than half the vote
When I type "2588" into Google Maps, it auto auggests his complete address, which is objectively funny
The photo of his house is now fully blurred out. Special treatment from Google to protect him
Edit: Looks like users can request their home be blurred out. Perhaps not special treatment, although that is uncharistically fast for google to respond to a blug request
I'd argue he deserves what he's getting. He cheered it on and supported it happening to others
I would, of course, prefer no one in an ICE concentration camp, but of there is even ine person, I can't think of anyone more deserving than him
What I don't agree with is the part where this seems retaliation from the Trump admin. Milo has been criticizing Trump more recently, and helped Ye's presidential campaign, which was competing with Trump. It seems likely, given Trump's character, that this is retaliation for not falling in line -- a dangerous display of how authoritarian the US has become
No response from tower and he just takes off anyway? I realize they don't technically have to follow FAA regs, but those regs exist for a reason. Each and every one of them are written in blood
Should have gotten affirmative clearance from tower
I hope they prosecute, but I expect them to do nothing
Watching Mamdani and Trump really made me realize how much our politicians simply choose to do nothing
Mamdani is actually helping the people of New York. He's working to solve daily issues that were ignored for decades
Trump is working to enrich himself and his friends and family. It's incredibly corrupt, but he's shown just how much power a president has if they want to use it
Russia would need to conscript soldiers, which they tried to do a few years ago to disastrous results -- public pushback forced them to walk it back
That's why they want NATO involved, it allows them to say mobilization is needed because NATO is threatening the homeland
It's a balancing act. They want to provoke NATO enough to sell the story of NATO threatening the homeland, but not so much that Russia actually has significant fighting against MATO
Putin feels he needs a military victory, and is taking increasingly large gambles to get it
Watch closely, because the US is following a similar path, just a few years behind
The ranchers are just making noise so they get handouts. You can pretty well guarantee the large ranches will get massive bailouts, while the small ranchers are left hanging
Consumers will temporarily get cheaper beef, but we'll be paying the interest on that loan for a long time
Supply and demand.
It's basically anti-freeze to dogs. Kills them quickly and painfully from even relatively small amounts
Paradoxically, if Russia were running out of troops to continue the war, I would expect the war to escalate
Putin cannot allow this war to end with a defeat. He is liable to be killed once the people turn on him
To avoid that outcome, the obvious choice would be conscription when troop numbers get low. Conscription is incredibly unpopular, as we saw in 2022; therefore, Putin would need additional justification for conscription. The justification would come in the form of an additional external threat -- NATO
NATO, obviously, has no intention of attacking Russia unless attacked themselves. Putin would need to attack NATO and provoke a response
It appears the US has intelligence suggesting Putin planned to do just that, which spurred John Ratcliffe's visit to Moscow. A trip that closely mirrors then CIA director William Burns' 2021 trip to discourage Russia from invading Ukraine
No other country seems to get that benefit. He is our drmocratically elected leader
People supporting him is normal in the US. 39% of the population continue to support him
We need to take a real hard look at our country and realize what we did. Trump isn't some aberration, he's a democratically elected leader, who got elected twice
We have a lot of structural issues that led to this, from poor education and rampant anti-intellectualism, to an electoral college that subverted the popular democratic result to bring him to power initially
Our electoral system is such that ~40% of the population will support a candidate for their party no matter how bad, simply because that's their team, then that candidate can be elected with less than half the vote
Google just tells you the address. I typed "2588" into maps and it auto suggested his exact address, despite me being across the country
It's pretty easy. In street view, I clicked "report a problem" and it took me right there to the request form
When I type "2588" into Google Maps, it auto auggests his complete address, which is objectively funny
The photo of his house is now fully blurred out. Special treatment from Google to protect him
Edit: Looks like users can request their home be blurred out. Perhaps not special treatment, although that is uncharistically fast for google to respond to a blug request
I'd argue he deserves what he's getting. He cheered it on and supported it happening to others
I would, of course, prefer no one in an ICE concentration camp, but of there is even ine person, I can't think of anyone more deserving than him
What I don't agree with is the part where this seems retaliation from the Trump admin. Milo has been criticizing Trump more recently, and helped Ye's presidential campaign, which was competing with Trump. It seems likely, given Trump's character, that this is retaliation for not falling in line -- a dangerous display of how authoritarian the US has become
That only applies to food they need to eat to survive. They aren't eating 105kg, that's for selling
Is the footage you're referring to oil fires in a desert? Because that's Kuwait. It's the only video of Big Wind that I can find
Technically it was used a couple more times in Hungary, but to poor results and no fanfare
Not to mention we still call it "the Epstein files", rather than " ", which is what Trump wants us to call it
Gross incompetence from Marine One
No response from tower and he just takes off anyway? I realize they don't technically have to follow FAA regs, but those regs exist for a reason. Each and every one of them are written in blood
Should have gotten affirmative clearance from tower
Difficult job for that attorney, considering they're in the US after fleeing Romanian prosecution, where they fled to avoid UK prosecution
It would be fascinating to get some analytics of law enforcement flock searches
I winder how skewed the demographics would be compared to non-stalking tools
I hope they prosecute, but I expect them to do nothing
Watching Mamdani and Trump really made me realize how much our politicians simply choose to do nothing
Mamdani is actually helping the people of New York. He's working to solve daily issues that were ignored for decades
Trump is working to enrich himself and his friends and family. It's incredibly corrupt, but he's shown just how much power a president has if they want to use it
Yes, with the operative word being mobilization
Russia would need to conscript soldiers, which they tried to do a few years ago to disastrous results -- public pushback forced them to walk it back
That's why they want NATO involved, it allows them to say mobilization is needed because NATO is threatening the homeland
It's a balancing act. They want to provoke NATO enough to sell the story of NATO threatening the homeland, but not so much that Russia actually has significant fighting against MATO
Putin feels he needs a military victory, and is taking increasingly large gambles to get it
Watch closely, because the US is following a similar path, just a few years behind
The article adds more details by explaining the app keeps getting silently reinstalled
The ranchers are just making noise so they get handouts. You can pretty well guarantee the large ranches will get massive bailouts, while the small ranchers are left hanging
Consumers will temporarily get cheaper beef, but we'll be paying the interest on that loan for a long time
Realistically he's just going to give the large ranchers bailouts. Government spends like there's no tomorrow
It translated correctly to 閉める
I have generally found it very good for Japanese, but I've only done Japanese <-> English pairing