The numbers are staggering. A game is incomparable. Facebook has over 3 billion users and instagram has another 2.5. Even a game like Fortnite “only” has a bit over 600 million users, and the vast majority of games see nowhere near that
You can bootstrap an audience in the millions, maybe, with a lot of luck, but getting to meta numbers takes significant capital to sustain your advertising. More importantly even with that it will still take ages. Facebook took almost a decade to get to a billion. Reddit took 18 years
Both platforms (and twitter, etc) are obviously infested with bots but what’s interesting is that from some research it appears the percentage of user accounts that are bots are far lower than many guess. I’ve seen people guess like 50+%. Per Facebook it’s more like 4-5%, and while Reddit doesn’t disclose based on content removal the numbers are similar (possibly slightly lower). This is definitely underreported though as it’s in their best interest to inflate user counts. Independent research pegs it closer to 20%. But the really interesting part is what validates the people guessing 50+%, which is user activity. Neither network comments on this but independent research pegs bots as responsible for like 50-70% of user activity.
So if you can get a network going with power users you can make it feel much more alive with possibly only 30% of the user base. But that’s where the staggering numbers come in. For Facebook that’s still 900 million people, almost 3x the entire population of america
Second tdarr for doing this to a large library but if it’s just a file or three mkvtoolnix and mkvextract is easier, tdarr can be kind of a nightmare to configure and documentation isn’t amazing
The answer to “can ai take your job” is always yes, the only real variable is time to develop and time to scale tech to make it affordable and feasible. Doctor? Lawyer? Yes, right now. Trade work? Not yet, but soon
The question is more “can ai do your job as effectively as you”. And likely the answer is nuanced with some things being way better and some being way worse. Using medicine as a example: once the initial dazzle of occasionally being able to find important links and do paperwork almost instantly wears off you’ll find that sycophantic LLMs are terrible at diagnosing a lot of things, especially for hypochondriacs and terminally online malingerers (both of which are becoming far more common these days) that are more effective at guiding it towards a “chosen” diagnosis
Or consider vibe coding. Basically everyone, even AI zealots, agree that llm code is objectively worse than code written by someone competent. But it does work a lot of the time. It’s possible to have an LLM quickly shit out an app, albeit one with some issues that is difficult to debug, but a working app.
So it becomes more like “ai can become your shitty coworker that drags behind everyone else but technically can do the job and does have a few tasks they excel at, mainly being able to produce mediocre results at incredible speed and occasionally surprise you with a novel insight”. Overall almost everything worsens but some things improve. And guess what? The people in charge don’t care about quality. They care about costs. They know consumers don’t care about quality if prices go down, and honestly the post Covid period has shown it doesn’t really matter even if prices are stagnant or rise.
So the next level of making everything shittier will just be firing huge swaths of people and replacing them with objectively worse AI. It will suck and a vocal minority will complain loudly but most people will just deal with it. Human workers will still exist in some capacity but mainly only the highest skilled who will exist as a boutique luxury for the wealthy. The rest of us will be too broke to vote with our wallets and most will just do the thing because “I need a therapist/lawyer/plumber/etc and I can’t afford a real one”
Something like radical acceptance from dbt is my go to for someone with your argument. I can acknowledge injustice and also acknowledge that much of it is out of my control. I can work towards correcting injustice whenever possible but I also have to recognize that fixing everything is far beyond me. For my own mental health I need to be able to recognize when I am ruminating on an issue that cannot be fixed and learn to let go of that attachment to suffering
Alternatively I can be miserable, forever dwelling on injustices that I cannot fix myself. But how does that help change anything? Really would argue it’s just giving the fascist party what they want. If “the resistance” is beaten and broken simply by business as usual then is that not great for them?
In a non political context think of an emergency veterinarian or ER doctor who got into the field because they truly care for animals/people. They undoubtedly will deal with unfair death, seeing the results of abuse, systemic failures about cost of care resulting in premature death or disability, etc. probably on a near daily basis if they live anywhere with people. Should they simply resign themselves to misery because of this cruel and harsh reality? Or should they find a way to let go of the attachments to the misery involved in these tasks so they can do their (very necessary) job that already desperately needs more of people like them
Would’ve probably been helpful to add that, whoops. But once you understand it it makes scaling a recipe much easier. This is less important for stuff like Mac and cheese tbf, but if you go to the bread or pizza book the ratios are much more important
“In 2000, the Business Software Alliance conducted a raid and subsequent audit at the San Luis Obispo, Calif.-based company that turned up a few dozen unlicensed copies of programs”
Later in the article they claim this meant armed marshals showed up at their door to enforce based on a tip from a program that designed to get employees to snitch on their bosses. If that’s true that’s absolutely wild. In what world do you give software companies license to do mandatory audits with severe financial penalties and police support based on heresay that was enticed by the auditor
It’s one of the big issues that capitalists continually overlook. In most states starting an LLC is nothing. My state it’s like $800 and a 1 page form plus getting a tax id (free and another 1 page form). There’s tons of shitty contractors that will start an LLC, do garbage work and get trashed online, then just fold it and start a new one every 6-12 months. Then if you need warranty work or whatever it’s like “oh sorry, company went under”. But the illusion of the small business being viable means this loophole will never be patched
You can and should check licenses and not hire unlicensed workers, but even that is almost impossible now as many contractors are licensed but never do any real work, they just come out, assess your issue, and then hire subcontractors for a couple hundred bucks per day. Your $30,000 roof replacement is like $1-2k in wages to workers, 8-10k in materials, and $20k to line the pockets of the fat shit “running the show” so he can keep up on the lease payments for his 4 million dollar house and 110k ford f150 that’s never seen a day of work
Yeah that was the name. I knew it was some kind of weird shit
That rhetoric was huge there. I remember posting a few times and suggesting some people seek therapy for similar reasons you’ve outlined (irl therapist) and being met with tons of nasty posts. Thats where the incel rhetoric would come out to, I specifically remember one guy that was like “how could a woman understand” as if a therapist needs to have your personal experience to help, as if all therapists are women, etc
They won’t do that because it’s expensive and free software generally doesn’t have the budget to do this
I don’t know why you think the “just works” is any different from tunneling with a service. Your server is still opened to the internet through upnp with direct connections and through a tunnel to plex.tv when a direct connection is not possible. In fact plex is inherently less secure because their infra is both the encryption endpoint (as opposed to your client with Jellyfin and Tailscale or whatever) and their infra has been vulnerable in the past (like the massive breach in 2022).
Jellyfin with something like nginx and a vpn is open to the internet, yes, but a service that tunnels (like wireguard, Tailscale) bypasses this issue and it’s up to you to set it up as to your level of comfort
Plex is just easier but as with all things tech (especially those infected with VC dollars) “ease” translates to less secure and far more likely to exploit your data
I worked with a woman that would do cartwheels sometimes. She was around 30 iirc and mainly did it because people would question her ability to do cartwheels
The hallmark of recipe design imo was modernist cuisine and the following books on pizza and bread. A lot of the recipes were obnoxious and it’s written by a notorious ex Microsoft cto that turned into a patent troll to finance his cooking nerd bullshit (morally justifiable to pirate all of the obnoxiously expensive books) but props for their recipe format
Very clear, in order of addition, scaling percentages, and in the actual book clear instructions follow which is extremely helpful in the bread one especially
Yeah obviously, you can also use Tailscale to tunnel to whatever service you want (including just to the server itself). But if you’re bothering to override remote plex access with all this I don’t know why you wouldn’t just pick the option that doesn’t harvest your data and increasingly treat its customers as hostile
It’s been years since I’ve gone on Reddit aside from getting a thread as an answer to a search result but there was another subreddit for bald men that was way different in tone. The name escapes me but it was truly depressing and negative, lots of men that were extremely depressed, sometimes suicidal, and a ton of incel rhetoric about social death when bald
Outside the network you still have to open your server to allow plex cloud to access it and potentially tunnel your traffic through plex.tv if a direct connection doesn’t work. This happens automatically but it does happen
With Jellyfin you just have to supply your own relay, like Tailscale or wireguard, which does require more setup but is completely free, means that you can stop your media traffic from being funneled through services that harvest your data (which plex absolutely does), and doesn’t go to shit if plex.tv goes down
Also working to repeal glass-steagal for his Wall Street buddies which set in motion the collateralized debt that created the 2008 recession
Also DMCA which led to weaponizing copyright against fair use with basically no recourse (and even a path to easily dox people by invoking it, though this was unintended)
And wrt the op shifting the welfare burden onto the disability system. Since the changes in 1996 disability claims have significantly increased year after year (especially claims related to mental health, which are impossible to quantify objectively) which has led to it becoming substantially more difficult in most states for the disabled to receive benefits.
At this point in my state it is basically well understood that if you are claiming disability for any mental illness (including things like autism and intellectual disability) unless you’ve spent years in residential inpatient you should anticipate being denied and having to do a lengthy appeal. It’s also highly recommended to get a lawyer involved which is either costly (typically they take 25% of back pay, max $7200, so if the appeal took two years and payments would’ve been $1100 a month they get $6600 of the 26,400 that is owed to you and you likely desperately need as someone who has had no income for at least 2 years (possibly ever). Or you can get legal aid but qualifications for that are very strict and you’ll likely wait awhile as they’re always slammed
The numbers are staggering. A game is incomparable. Facebook has over 3 billion users and instagram has another 2.5. Even a game like Fortnite “only” has a bit over 600 million users, and the vast majority of games see nowhere near that
You can bootstrap an audience in the millions, maybe, with a lot of luck, but getting to meta numbers takes significant capital to sustain your advertising. More importantly even with that it will still take ages. Facebook took almost a decade to get to a billion. Reddit took 18 years
Both platforms (and twitter, etc) are obviously infested with bots but what’s interesting is that from some research it appears the percentage of user accounts that are bots are far lower than many guess. I’ve seen people guess like 50+%. Per Facebook it’s more like 4-5%, and while Reddit doesn’t disclose based on content removal the numbers are similar (possibly slightly lower). This is definitely underreported though as it’s in their best interest to inflate user counts. Independent research pegs it closer to 20%. But the really interesting part is what validates the people guessing 50+%, which is user activity. Neither network comments on this but independent research pegs bots as responsible for like 50-70% of user activity.
So if you can get a network going with power users you can make it feel much more alive with possibly only 30% of the user base. But that’s where the staggering numbers come in. For Facebook that’s still 900 million people, almost 3x the entire population of america
Also the social aspect is pretty significant
Land more like 150,000
I almost got a flair before I got my gaggia. Seems like a pretty bulletproof machine and levers are interesting
Second tdarr for doing this to a large library but if it’s just a file or three mkvtoolnix and mkvextract is easier, tdarr can be kind of a nightmare to configure and documentation isn’t amazing
Why did you mention your billing company name and hide a link to it with a single period? Is this an seo thing?
I didn’t know either but there’s a RuneScape wiki which says they had pride evens in 2017 and then again 2022-2024. However:
“The 2025 Pride event was scrapped due to CEO Mod North deeming it "controversial in a way it didn't used to be".”
https://archive.ph/uZ3th Links to this article, which expands on the situation and somehow makes that blurb even worse
The answer to “can ai take your job” is always yes, the only real variable is time to develop and time to scale tech to make it affordable and feasible. Doctor? Lawyer? Yes, right now. Trade work? Not yet, but soon
The question is more “can ai do your job as effectively as you”. And likely the answer is nuanced with some things being way better and some being way worse. Using medicine as a example: once the initial dazzle of occasionally being able to find important links and do paperwork almost instantly wears off you’ll find that sycophantic LLMs are terrible at diagnosing a lot of things, especially for hypochondriacs and terminally online malingerers (both of which are becoming far more common these days) that are more effective at guiding it towards a “chosen” diagnosis
Or consider vibe coding. Basically everyone, even AI zealots, agree that llm code is objectively worse than code written by someone competent. But it does work a lot of the time. It’s possible to have an LLM quickly shit out an app, albeit one with some issues that is difficult to debug, but a working app.
So it becomes more like “ai can become your shitty coworker that drags behind everyone else but technically can do the job and does have a few tasks they excel at, mainly being able to produce mediocre results at incredible speed and occasionally surprise you with a novel insight”. Overall almost everything worsens but some things improve. And guess what? The people in charge don’t care about quality. They care about costs. They know consumers don’t care about quality if prices go down, and honestly the post Covid period has shown it doesn’t really matter even if prices are stagnant or rise.
So the next level of making everything shittier will just be firing huge swaths of people and replacing them with objectively worse AI. It will suck and a vocal minority will complain loudly but most people will just deal with it. Human workers will still exist in some capacity but mainly only the highest skilled who will exist as a boutique luxury for the wealthy. The rest of us will be too broke to vote with our wallets and most will just do the thing because “I need a therapist/lawyer/plumber/etc and I can’t afford a real one”
Something like radical acceptance from dbt is my go to for someone with your argument. I can acknowledge injustice and also acknowledge that much of it is out of my control. I can work towards correcting injustice whenever possible but I also have to recognize that fixing everything is far beyond me. For my own mental health I need to be able to recognize when I am ruminating on an issue that cannot be fixed and learn to let go of that attachment to suffering
Alternatively I can be miserable, forever dwelling on injustices that I cannot fix myself. But how does that help change anything? Really would argue it’s just giving the fascist party what they want. If “the resistance” is beaten and broken simply by business as usual then is that not great for them?
In a non political context think of an emergency veterinarian or ER doctor who got into the field because they truly care for animals/people. They undoubtedly will deal with unfair death, seeing the results of abuse, systemic failures about cost of care resulting in premature death or disability, etc. probably on a near daily basis if they live anywhere with people. Should they simply resign themselves to misery because of this cruel and harsh reality? Or should they find a way to let go of the attachments to the misery involved in these tasks so they can do their (very necessary) job that already desperately needs more of people like them
Would’ve probably been helpful to add that, whoops. But once you understand it it makes scaling a recipe much easier. This is less important for stuff like Mac and cheese tbf, but if you go to the bread or pizza book the ratios are much more important
“In 2000, the Business Software Alliance conducted a raid and subsequent audit at the San Luis Obispo, Calif.-based company that turned up a few dozen unlicensed copies of programs”
Later in the article they claim this meant armed marshals showed up at their door to enforce based on a tip from a program that designed to get employees to snitch on their bosses. If that’s true that’s absolutely wild. In what world do you give software companies license to do mandatory audits with severe financial penalties and police support based on heresay that was enticed by the auditor
It’s one of the big issues that capitalists continually overlook. In most states starting an LLC is nothing. My state it’s like $800 and a 1 page form plus getting a tax id (free and another 1 page form). There’s tons of shitty contractors that will start an LLC, do garbage work and get trashed online, then just fold it and start a new one every 6-12 months. Then if you need warranty work or whatever it’s like “oh sorry, company went under”. But the illusion of the small business being viable means this loophole will never be patched
You can and should check licenses and not hire unlicensed workers, but even that is almost impossible now as many contractors are licensed but never do any real work, they just come out, assess your issue, and then hire subcontractors for a couple hundred bucks per day. Your $30,000 roof replacement is like $1-2k in wages to workers, 8-10k in materials, and $20k to line the pockets of the fat shit “running the show” so he can keep up on the lease payments for his 4 million dollar house and 110k ford f150 that’s never seen a day of work
Yeah that was the name. I knew it was some kind of weird shit
That rhetoric was huge there. I remember posting a few times and suggesting some people seek therapy for similar reasons you’ve outlined (irl therapist) and being met with tons of nasty posts. Thats where the incel rhetoric would come out to, I specifically remember one guy that was like “how could a woman understand” as if a therapist needs to have your personal experience to help, as if all therapists are women, etc
They won’t do that because it’s expensive and free software generally doesn’t have the budget to do this
I don’t know why you think the “just works” is any different from tunneling with a service. Your server is still opened to the internet through upnp with direct connections and through a tunnel to plex.tv when a direct connection is not possible. In fact plex is inherently less secure because their infra is both the encryption endpoint (as opposed to your client with Jellyfin and Tailscale or whatever) and their infra has been vulnerable in the past (like the massive breach in 2022).
Jellyfin with something like nginx and a vpn is open to the internet, yes, but a service that tunnels (like wireguard, Tailscale) bypasses this issue and it’s up to you to set it up as to your level of comfort
Plex is just easier but as with all things tech (especially those infected with VC dollars) “ease” translates to less secure and far more likely to exploit your data
I worked with a woman that would do cartwheels sometimes. She was around 30 iirc and mainly did it because people would question her ability to do cartwheels
The hallmark of recipe design imo was modernist cuisine and the following books on pizza and bread. A lot of the recipes were obnoxious and it’s written by a notorious ex Microsoft cto that turned into a patent troll to finance his cooking nerd bullshit (morally justifiable to pirate all of the obnoxiously expensive books) but props for their recipe format
Very clear, in order of addition, scaling percentages, and in the actual book clear instructions follow which is extremely helpful in the bread one especially
Yeah obviously, you can also use Tailscale to tunnel to whatever service you want (including just to the server itself). But if you’re bothering to override remote plex access with all this I don’t know why you wouldn’t just pick the option that doesn’t harvest your data and increasingly treat its customers as hostile
It’s been years since I’ve gone on Reddit aside from getting a thread as an answer to a search result but there was another subreddit for bald men that was way different in tone. The name escapes me but it was truly depressing and negative, lots of men that were extremely depressed, sometimes suicidal, and a ton of incel rhetoric about social death when bald
Outside the network you still have to open your server to allow plex cloud to access it and potentially tunnel your traffic through plex.tv if a direct connection doesn’t work. This happens automatically but it does happen
With Jellyfin you just have to supply your own relay, like Tailscale or wireguard, which does require more setup but is completely free, means that you can stop your media traffic from being funneled through services that harvest your data (which plex absolutely does), and doesn’t go to shit if plex.tv goes down
Also working to repeal glass-steagal for his Wall Street buddies which set in motion the collateralized debt that created the 2008 recession
Also DMCA which led to weaponizing copyright against fair use with basically no recourse (and even a path to easily dox people by invoking it, though this was unintended)
And wrt the op shifting the welfare burden onto the disability system. Since the changes in 1996 disability claims have significantly increased year after year (especially claims related to mental health, which are impossible to quantify objectively) which has led to it becoming substantially more difficult in most states for the disabled to receive benefits.
At this point in my state it is basically well understood that if you are claiming disability for any mental illness (including things like autism and intellectual disability) unless you’ve spent years in residential inpatient you should anticipate being denied and having to do a lengthy appeal. It’s also highly recommended to get a lawyer involved which is either costly (typically they take 25% of back pay, max $7200, so if the appeal took two years and payments would’ve been $1100 a month they get $6600 of the 26,400 that is owed to you and you likely desperately need as someone who has had no income for at least 2 years (possibly ever). Or you can get legal aid but qualifications for that are very strict and you’ll likely wait awhile as they’re always slammed