TinyTimmyTokyo

u/TinyTimmyTokyo@awful.systems
26 posts · 236 comments

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It's depressing how so many (pathetic) software devs are taking their hands off the steering wheel and letting LLMs do all the driving. If you think software quality was poor before LLMs, there's no way it could have been worse than shit like this:

This became very apparent with GPT 5.6 Sol. It, too, was widely hailed to have near-Fable level intelligence. But I used it non-stop for a week and realized that they had mostly just dialed up the relentlessness meter to eleven, most likely via heavy RLHF.

Last week I gave it a small-sized auth ticket to work on, then stepped away. I came back later that afternoon and found that it had worked for 3+ hours and written 25,000+ lines of code. I skimmed over the code and it looked like a small fix followed by a massive number of additional checks around it, including static analysis tooling.

I gave it to another GPT 5.6 and said "check this code and see if it addresses the ticket". It looked at it and said that 98% of it was garbage and should be thrown away (its own words). I then gave it to Fable, which said it was massively over-engineered. Fable's theory was that the agent implemented the fix first, but then compacted and lost crucial context, forgot what the original task was about, and kept going. After many compaction cycles it was completely lost.

I’m not regretting not getting back to the Frame Fellowship on their offer to join their indoctrination programme.

I understand your sentiment, but part of me wants you to take up the offer if only to waste their money and create some awkward moments for LWers.

As a visualization of how wild this could be, look at some Youtube videos of video game speedruns, such as this one of beating Minecraft in 20 seconds.

Now imagine this applied to all domains of science, technology, and the economy.

Tell me you have the mental maturity of a 12 year old without telling me you have the mental maturity of a 12 year old.

The overlap between rationalists and the skeptic community was indeed tiny. I say this as someone heavily involved in Usenet skeptic communities since the late eighties. In fact the Bay Area doesn't even register as a locus of the skeptic community at the times he's talking about.

I'm not trying to excuse what much of the skeptic/atheist community later became in the 2010s. It's definitely turned into something nearly unrecognizable since its earlier days. But that had nothing to do with any sort of imagined rationalist adjacency.

His non-apology apology:

I'm not going anywhere. I am not retreating from public writing, and I am not retreating from saying inconvenient things in public. I am unfazed by harsh criticism, and I know that a reaction of this magnitude is in part the result of having struck a chord. Bear with me, and if you can, remember that I am a human being with a six-month old boy to raise, a book to write, a new job, and much more questions than answers about our collective future.

Guys, he has a baby. Don't be too mean to him.