Microsoft AI chief gives it 18 months—for all white-collar work to be automated by AI | Fortune

https://archive.is/etOSd

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ca/post/60664254

For the back half of the 20th century (what Fortune founder Henry Luce called “The American Century”), MBA and law degree programs were a ticket to a great office job and a path to the American Dream. The 21st century is asking the question: What happens when all those office jobs get automated?....

44 points · 28 comments · view on lemmy.world

28 Comments

ThePowerOfGeek@lemmy.world · 34 pts · 207d

'Experts' have been saying this shit for years. Literally at least two decades.

Meanwhile, how many companies have had to backpedal (even recently) because they went too far with their dependency on AI, and everything went to shit and they had to rehire a bunch of humans?

harcesz@szmer.info · 26 pts · 207d

So we can set on this as the AI equivalent of "cold fusion in 50 years" phisics constant?

Don_alForno@feddit.org · 23 pts · 207d (1 reply)

He will be replaced in 18 months, that much I can believe.

Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world · 9 pts · 207d

He's an executive. They never fail- only transferred with a promotion.

mrmaplebar@fedia.io · 20 pts · 207d

I give it 18 months for the AI bubble to crash, and that's being generous.

Nobody wants this shit, let alone enough to pay for it. The novelty has worn off for anyone with half a brain. People can't even afford modern hardware. And if big tech can't turn theft into a profitable business, then how is this ever going to pan out?

Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world · 15 pts · 207d

If AI could do this then the work would have already been outsourced to cheaper countries.

CobblerScholar@lemmy.world · 14 pts · 207d

Just because you spent billions on it doesn't mean its good

hypnicjerk@lemmy.world · 14 pts · 207d

sure jan

jaredwhite@humansare.social · 14 pts · 207d

"…and is the AI superintelligence in the room with us right now?" 😆

krigo666@lemmy.world · 13 pts · 207d (1 reply)

Famous words that will be swallowed.

technocrit@lemmy.dbzer0.com · 1 pts · 207d
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puppinstuff@lemmy.ca · 13 pts · 207d (2 replies)

Not feeling very confident, Microslop. The AI dudes usually promise their industry takeovers every six months, not 18.

Based in CEO claims AI should have replaced me 4-5 times over by now. It’s still shitty. I’m still here.

Forester@pawb.social · 5 pts · 207d (1 reply)

Yeah on the one hand you may still be there but a lot of us are getting fired by our idiotic bosses because they think the AI can replace us

puppinstuff@lemmy.ca · 6 pts · 207d

That’s the shitty part. The news always says they have to hire them all back eventually but it’s not guaranteed to be the same group.

For many, AI is just the latest excuse to downsize and juice the quarterly revenue numbers for shareholders.

CADmonkey@lemmy.world · 9 pts · 207d (2 replies)

I've not tried to get an LLM to create a CAD model yet. I'm sure it's possible. I'm also sure whatever it came up with would need me to go over it and fix all the mistakes....

...hey, this must be how coders feel right now.

plz1@lemmy.world · 7 pts · 207d (1 reply)

It is, for sure. It's even worse when you get pull requests from non-coders that think they can just point an LLM at GitHub and say "go fix this bug".

CADmonkey@lemmy.world · 4 pts · 207d

"Maybe if I expose the bug to the bug that created it, they will cancel out"

CompactFlax@discuss.tchncs.de · 9 pts · 207d

Yeah and computers only need 640K.

traceur402@lemmy.blahaj.zone · 8 pts · 207d

It seems to be trying to get rid of me already by making it take 5 sign in attempts to join a teams call late

Rentlar@lemmy.ca · 6 pts · 207d

Microsoft, how much do you want to wager my job will be replaced by AI? Just assume I also have billions of other people's money to spend like you do, and give me the sum you bet if this doesn't pan out.

supersquirrel@sopuli.xyz · 6 pts · 207d

Dumbass

glasratz@feddit.org · 4 pts · 207d

Right now it can't even read legal papers.

GrindingGears@lemmy.ca · 4 pts · 207d (2 replies)

In 18 months, I might be the King of Spain!

Look kids, two things that for sure are not going to be happening!

frosty@pawb.social · 2 pts · 207d (1 reply)

Once I was the King of Spaiiiin....o/~

GrindingGears@lemmy.ca · 2 pts · 206d

Is it uh...still not politically correct to continue this??

Screw it

NOW I EAT HUMBlE PIE!!

technocrit@lemmy.dbzer0.com · 3 pts · 207d

The desperation is real.

deliriousdreams@fedia.io · 1 pts · 206d (2 replies)

I am so curious about what happens when companies can't buy computers because RAM, Storage, and chip sets are so expensive, and therefore can't continue to buffer this bubble. Your tech is literally starving the people that you need to use it of their ability to do so but cutting off the supply to tech used to access it.

The prices of all computing are rising, wages continue to be stagnant, and every company making hardware is giving all the hardware to AI firms, assuming people will just use what they have. But there's no new supply when what they have becomes obsolete or breaks. This is a shitshow. This is like babies first capitalism for these fools. It's not even remotely sustainable.

And you want to put the people most likely to be forced to use the tech you're schilling to be out of work? Make it make sense.

myrmidex@belgae.social · 2 pts · 206d (1 reply)

I am so curious about what happens when companies can’t buy computers because...

Probably why I see this more and more: Windows Cloud PC

deliriousdreams@fedia.io · 2 pts · 206d

There are only so many industries that will be allowed to make use of that. Additionally, that computing power for cloud PC's will also be hit by the shortage of chips.